### Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Low-Scoring Draw at Civitas Metropolitano
**Key Stats:**
- Both teams remain unbeaten this season, combining for 17 matches across all competitions.
- Atlético have drawn three out of their seven La Liga games so far.
- Vinicius Junior has received three yellow cards this season, the most of any player from either side.
**Correct Score Prediction:** Atlético Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid
These derbies are typically tightly contested, making it difficult to strongly favor either side. Atlético have made solid signings but struggle to create numerous chances, relying heavily on Antoine Griezmann for offensive spark.
Real Madrid have yet to hit their peak form and will need to adapt due to Kylian Mbappé's absence.
**Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability:**
- **Home:** 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
- **Draw:** 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- **Away:** 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change.*
According to the odds, Real Madrid is slightly favored with a 40.8% chance of winning. They come into this match off a 3-2 victory over Alavés, though they nearly squandered a three-goal lead in the closing moments. Meanwhile, Atlético secured a late 1-0 win against Celta Vigo with a goal from Julian Alvarez.
### Atlético Madrid Preview: Álvarez to Lead the Line
Atlético Madrid is expected to start Julián Álvarez in the attacking role over Alexander Sorloth. The team will be without Pablo Barrios and César Azpilicueta due to injuries.
**Predicted Lineup:**
- **Goalkeeper:** Oblak
- **Defenders:** Reinildo, Giménez, Le Normand
- **Midfielders:** Lino, Gallagher, Koke, De Paul, Llorente
- **Forwards:** Griezmann & Álvarez
Álvarez’s inclusion up front could be key to enhancing their attacking options in this crucial match.
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