🔊 **What Tactics Does Luis Garcia Have Planned for the Tough Clash at Santiago Bernabeu?** Following their home victory over Sevilla (2-1), Alaves heads to the Spanish capital to face reigning La Liga champions Real Madrid. How will the match unfold? Who might emerge as the hero? We have insights into these questions in our prediction.
### Head-to-Head
The history of matches between Real Madrid and Alaves is not particularly rich or varied. Out of 36 encounters, Real Madrid has won 34, while Alaves has only secured 4 victories. Madrid has dominated recently, winning eight of the last nine meetings. In the 2023/24 season, Alaves has yet to score against the Galacticos: Real Madrid won the first match 1-0 at Mendizorrotza and then delivered a commanding 5-0 victory in the return fixture at the Santiago Bernabeu.
### Real Madrid
The Whites have closed the gap on Barcelona and improved their goal difference with a commanding 4-1 victory over Espanyol in the latest round of La Liga. Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior are currently the team's top scorers, each netting 5 goals. Additionally, Jude Bellingham's return from injury has been pivotal for the team's midfield stability and balance. Bellingham effectively acts as a "conductor" between defense and attack, easing the burden on forwards in defensive situations. However, the Galacticos are still dealing with several injury concerns, as Brahim Diaz, Dani Ceballos, Eduardo Camavinga, and David Alaba continue their recovery.
### Alaves
If not for "absurd" losses to Celta (1-2) and Espanyol (2-3), Luis Garcia's side would be navigating the season without setbacks. Currently, the "Glorious" have accumulated 10 points and sit in 5th place in the standings. While Alaves consistently showcases mature and high-quality performances at Mendizorrotza, they struggle with composure and confidence in away matches. Both of their defeats this season have come on the road. As they prepare for their trip to Madrid, Luis Garcia faces no major squad issues and can rely on all his key players.
### Goals Prediction
We can anticipate a high-scoring encounter between Real Madrid and Alaves. Historically, matches between these two teams are characterized by dynamic play and plenty of goals, with an average of 3.3 goals per game. In fact, at least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and the same trend holds for 5 of Alaves' last 7 matches. Therefore, betting on over 2.5 goals in the upcoming game seems quite reasonable.
### Corners Prediction
It’s unlikely that Alaves will take unnecessary risks by opening up early in the match. Instead, Luis Garcia is expected to adopt a pragmatic approach, focusing on denying space and freedom to Real Madrid's attacking players. A tight defensive setup will make it difficult for Vinicius, Mbappe, and Rodrigo to dominate the flanks. In their last 5 encounters, the total number of corners has consistently been low, with fewer than 10 in each match. We anticipate a similar outcome this time, predicting a total of fewer than 10.5 corners.
### Scores24 Prediction for Real Madrid vs. Alaves
Given Alaves' current form, bookmakers see little chance of an upset at the Santiago Bernabeu, offering odds of 1.22 for a Real Madrid win compared to 14 for Alaves. However, there’s always the possibility for the team from Vitoria-Gasteiz to surprise, as they did in November 2020 when they defeated the "Galacticos" 2-1. With both teams in optimal condition, we expect an entertaining match rather than a dull affair dominated by sterile possession. Our prediction is for a final score of 3-1, and we strongly recommend betting on more than 2.5 goals.
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